Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.325962 0.386442 0.454186 0.535568 0.630560 0.737814 0.867971
2024-10-06 0.252776 0.338050 0.444624 0.587023 0.771665 1.002291 1.311433
2024-10-13 0.193023 0.288836 0.421356 0.616511 0.894768 1.275088 1.831672
2024-10-20 0.154991 0.257204 0.412297 0.661695 1.048801 1.621767 2.527333
2024-10-27 0.125962 0.230067 0.402084 0.701792 1.204014 2.002199 3.352721
2024-11-03 0.100151 0.200260 0.379433 0.715767 1.320540 2.346217 4.192224
2024-11-10 0.084883 0.184384 0.375882 0.760333 1.496592 2.819281 5.332949
2024-11-17 0.069638 0.163829 0.358155 0.773995 1.619102 3.221397 6.424509
2024-11-24 0.055079 0.140108 0.327809 0.755035 1.674189 3.508679 7.356094
2024-12-01 0.041123 0.113181 0.283402 0.695363 1.632976 3.600969 7.926067
2024-12-08 0.034086 0.100694 0.267856 0.695057 1.716777 3.958008 9.088575
2024-12-15 0.027506 0.087189 0.246222 0.675014 1.751476 4.216228 10.085528
2024-12-22 0.021322 0.073022 0.220086 0.640309 1.751775 4.416194 11.033356
2024-12-29 0.018358 0.067466 0.215680 0.661920 1.898620 4.986807 12.947342
2025-01-05 0.015486 0.061118 0.207294 0.671010 2.017164 5.517086 14.875655
2025-01-12 0.013714 0.057855 0.207293 0.704797 2.211870 6.277275 17.516358
2025-01-19 0.012157 0.054749 0.206920 0.737767 2.413205 7.095371 20.458392
2025-01-26 0.010374 0.049975 0.199491 0.746537 2.546454 7.759159 23.120523
2025-02-02 0.009405 0.048159 0.201938 0.789142 2.794222 8.787954 26.958611
2025-02-09 0.008129 0.044384 0.195938 0.800972 2.947913 9.578905 30.275972
2025-02-16 0.006680 0.039048 0.182000 0.780014 2.989077 10.048023 32.757141
2025-02-23 0.005104 0.032165 0.159084 0.717705 2.872900 10.016472 33.755047
2025-03-02 0.004360 0.029279 0.152227 0.716920 2.975941 10.694712 37.042061